The Trump and Biden campaigns are both acting as if Kennedy poses a small, but significant threat to Biden's reelection.
Tempted to make a bet on the rematch between President Biden and former President Trump? There are a lot of reasons that would be a bad idea. Here’s a big one — Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Polls, pollsters and pundits disagree about how much support Kennedy has — or even which candidate he potentially would hurt more. The Trump and Biden campaigns, however, seem more in agreement: They're both acting as if Kennedy poses a small, but significant threat to Biden's reelection.
6% of the vote, with most of that going to Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein. In three swing states, Stein’s total exceeded Trump’s margin. It’s impossible to know how many of Stein’s voters might have voted for Hillary Clinton, but the claim that she cost Clinton the election is at least plausible. In 2020, by contrast, all the independent and third-party candidates combined took less than 1.8% of the vote. Kennedy, of course, has a famous Democratic name.
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