Noah Rothman: Democrats won, to the extent they did, in the 2022 midterms because Republicans lost.
. Democrats may yet lose control of the House of Representatives, albeit by the smallest of margins, and there are two races left to call and a runoff to hold before we know which way the Senate goes. But that doesn’t change the fact that Democrats beat the odds. Despite Joe Biden’s unpopularity, widespread economic hardship and polling that indicated a reasonably uniform GOP advantage, Republicans fumbled enough winnable races Tuesday that no one could call it a “red wave.
The voters’ verdict becomes even clearer when you dig into how various demographics broke in the election. analysis found that Republicans chipped away at the Democratic coalition in potentially seismic ways. African American voters shifted in the GOP’s direction by 15 percentage points; among Black voters under 44, the pro-Republican shift was a remarkable 22 points. Hispanics moved rightward to the tune of 10 points overall and 18 points among Latinos under 44.
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