Reports of the death of the SNP may be greatly exaggerated

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Reports of the death of the SNP may be greatly exaggerated
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The party gathers for its conference this weekend after a defeat and a defection. Can it bounce back?

‘The SNP has been rocked by a series of shocks over recent months,’ writes Paul Waugh to the Conservatives on Thursday, Scotland’s First Minister Humza Yousaf joked that it was “the least surprising news I’ve had as leader of the SNP”.

And as the SNP meets in Aberdeen for its annual conference this weekend, it may struggle to shrug off the sense of unease and division Neil has called for Forbes, who was only narrowly beaten by Yousaf in the leadership race earlier this year, to be made deputy First Minister to heal any splits and unite the membership. Forbes certainly represents athan the First Minister, who has followed Sturgeon’s lead in pitching to former Labour voters in the urban Central Belt. The differences were starkly highlighted during a leadership debate when Yousaf said: “The Tories don’t fear you, Kate, they’re rooting for you.

If the SNP were to ditch its “de facto” referendum plan, it could focus on the Holyrood elections in 2026 as the real testing ground for independence. If there is a Labour government next year, the party will argue that’s all the more reason to send SNP MSPs to Edinburgh as a counterweight. If the Tories were to oust Starmer from No 10 at a general election in 2028 or 2029, some of them may never again want a situation where Labour uses its Scottish seats to form a government.

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