Winter is still weeks away, but meteorologists are already talking about a snowy winter ahead in the southern Rockies and the Sierra Nevada. They anticipate more storms in the U.S. South and Northeast, and warmer, drier conditions across the already dry Pacific Northwest and the upper Midwest.
The El Niño pattern stands out in the warm sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific in 2023. Credit: NOAA Climate.govin the U.S. South and Northeast, and warmer, drier conditions across the already dry Pacific Northwest and the upper Midwest.During a normal year, the warmest sea surface temperatures are in the western Pacific and the Indian Ocean, in what's known as the.
The box shows the Niño 3.4 region as El Niño begins to develop in the tropical Pacific, from January to June 2023. Credit:—we're not seeing the same change in where the precipitation is happening. It's taking much longer to develop, and it's not as strong., the U.S. South and Southwest are cooler and wetter, and the Northwest is warmer and drier. The upper Midwest tends to be drier, while the Northeast tends to be a little wetter.
The jet stream takes a very different path in a typical El Niño vs. La Niña winter weather pattern. But these patterns have a great deal of variability. Not every El Niño or La Niña year is the same. Credit: NOAA Climate.govIf you go by just a sea surface temperature-based El Niño index, the forecast is for a fairly strong El Niño.
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