Putin has reportedly set a March deadline to fully capture Ukraine's Donetsk and Luhansk regions, which he previously claimed to have annexed for Russia.
has"overestimated" his military's ability to quickly capture all of Ukraine's Donetsk and Luhansk regions, according to the Institute for the Study of War .of the offensive, released Thursday by ISW, a U.S.-based think tank, maintains there is no evidence Russia has"sufficient combat power" to capture the more than 42 percent of Donetsk that remains under Ukrainian control in time to meet a Putin-imposed deadline of March.
The ISW report suggests that the Russian president could be making demands that his troops will not be able to fulfill, possibly paving the way for a Ukrainian counteroffensive that would be timed to coincide with the delivery of tanks supplied by the U.S. and other Western nations. "A major Russian offensive before April 2023 would likely prematurely culminate during the April spring rain season," it continues."Russian forces' culmination could then generate favorable conditions for Ukrainian forces to exploit in their own late spring or summer 2023 counteroffensive after incorporating Western tank deliveries."
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