The NHL Draft is full of red flags, but some teams just never learn
. Tampa Bay seemed to get caught up in the run, and wound up with a player who averaged just 13:45 of ice time in his career.
It's unclear if we'll see another similar positional cluster at the 2023 draft, but if we do, pay close attention to who grabs the last guy.Low-ceiling, high-floor players can be a trapThe idea of getting a player who feels certain to contribute at the NHL level — even if he's not a difference maker — can seem seductive to certain teams.
The issue is that there's no such thing as a sure thing. The floor of every player is a guy who never appears in the NHL, so aiming for upside makes more sense. Even guys who don't fulfill their potential are often able to adjust their game over time and become role players if their careers don't turn out as expected.
If the expectation is that a player is going to be a role player in the first place, then any unanticipated negative outcomes could push them out of the league entirely.This is a tough one to define, but Toronto seemed to embody this ethos for a couple of years during the Brian Burke era. When the team selected Tyler Biggs, he projected to be a rugged third-line winger — not an exciting outcome for the 22nd overall pick — even if it would've been acceptable if he'd reached that level.
The 6-foot-5 centre fell short of expectations by playing just 178 NHL games, but he didn't even disappoint by an enormous margin. The Maple Leafs lack of ambition that manifested in an intense desire to lock in NHL contributors came back to bite them.
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