[ANALYSIS] Power outages could reach critical levels this winter - likely scenarios
the intermittent nature of sunshine and wind and the irregularity of water flow due to water management requirements.
Renewable power plants currently only have a small footprint in the South African energy mix. This has meant that they can’t for now play a major role in mitigating power shortages. The significant . This is caused by the increased use of electrical heating devices, as well as the longer use of lights and increased geyser consumption.
My estimations suggest that the mid-winter power shortfall will be of the order of 2 GW greater than it was in 2022. Deficits of 8 GW can therefore be expected on some days.A national blackout triggered by the current oscillating frequency of the grid drifting too far from the prescribed 50 Hertz would raise the danger of the. This would happen if points along the grid – including power plants – tripped one after the other, resulting in zero electricity everywhere.
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