The UK is planning for several days over the winter when cold weather may combine with gas shortages, leading to organised blackouts for industry and even households.
Under the government’s latest reasonable worst-case scenario, Britain could face an electricity capacity shortfall totalling about a sixth of peak demand, even after emergency coal plants have been fired up, according to people familiar with the government’s planning.
If the winter is particularly cold, Britain may have to rely increasingly on pipeline shipments of gas from mainland Europe, where supplies are already thin as Moscow curbs flows. That presents a dilemma for the UK, which has little domestic storage capacity. The nation has been shipping record amounts of gas to the continent and will want the favour returned when temperatures plunge.
Life could get more difficult for Britain if supply of electricity is curtailed along huge cables connecting to France, Norway, Belgium and the Netherlands. Norway said on Monday it was looking at ways to limit power exports in winter to prevent domestic shortages.
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