Posthaste: Sorry, but the economy isn't over COVID — and won't be for some time to come

CIBC economists see long stretch of higher rates and low growth ahead

The explanation for these unexpected and in some cases unprecedented conditions, argue CIBC economists, is that COVID continues to disrupt the functioning of the economy.

And while demand has recovered, supply chains have not, partly because of the war in Ukraine, but also because of COVID. In Britain, where public health restrictions have been lighter, 0.6% of the population have been “severely affected” by Long COVID, according to a recent study. During the pandemic some work was almost completely shut down and stayed dormant for a long period. Now that the economy has reopened, those employers are scrambling to rehire in great numbers, a situation we have not seen before, they said.

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