Trump and Biden are in a dead heat in North Carolina, a crucial electoral target, Post-ABC poll finds
By Dan Balz , Dan Balz Chief correspondent covering national politics, the presidency and Congress Email Bio Follow Scott Clement and Scott Clement Polling director Email Bio Follow Emily Guskin Emily Guskin Polling analyst at The Washington Post specializing in public opinion about politics, elections and public policy. Email Bio Follow October 20 at 6:51 AM
Source: Oct. 12-17, 2020, Washington Post-ABC News poll among 646 North Carolina likely voters with an error margin of +/- 4.5 percentage points.Presidential contest is in a dead heat in North CarolinaAmong likely votersNote: Support for Jorgensen, Hawkins, “Other,” “None,” “Would not vote” and “No opinion” not shown.
The president’s overall approval rating among registered voters in North Carolina is 47 percent positive and 52 percent negative, with 44 percent saying they strongly disapprove of the way he is handling his job vs. 37 percent who strongly approve. Trump’s approval margin is slightly better in North Carolina than it is nationally. Among likely voters in North Carolina who approve of Trump, 94 percent support Trump for reelection. Among those who disapprove, 95 percent support Biden.
About 9 in 10 supporters of Trump and 9 in 10 supporters of Biden say they are enthusiastic about that support, but there is greater intensity among the president’s backers. Nearly 3 in 4 Trump supporters say they are very enthusiastic compared with about 6 in 10 of Biden supporters. The poll finds that nearly 2 in 3 likely voters say they plan to vote before Nov. 3. Compared with the country overall, North Carolina’s early voters heavily prefer in-person early voting over a mail option. Among likely voters who plan to vote early, 74 percent say they plan to vote in person, far higher than the 37 percent of likely voters who planned to vote that way nationwide in a recent Post-ABC poll.
Source: Oct. 12-17, 2020, Washington Post-ABC News poll among 646 North Carolina likely voters with an error margin of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Error margins larger among subgroups.Whom key groups of voters in North Carolina are supporting for president43Charlotte areaNote: Support for Jorgensen, Hawkins, “Other,” “None,” “Would not vote” and “No opinion” not shown.
The president minimally tops Biden among likely voters age 65 and above by 55 percent to 45 percent, which is better than his standing among seniors nationally, where he and Biden are about even. His current margin is not as big as the 23-point margin he enjoyed against Clinton in 2016 in North Carolina.
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