An opposition win over Law and Justice would bring a bastion of illiberalism allied with Trump Republicans into line with Europe’s core democracies.
Donald Tusk, leader of the Civic Coalition, speaks during an election night rally in Warsaw, on Sunday. Poland’s centrist opposition rode a wave of jubilant optimism Monday following historic elections, as an exit poll suggested it had a better chance of forming the next government than the ruling hard right. But the country remain locked in what could be a protracted period of political uncertainty, as the governing Law and Justice party scrambled for ways to stay in power.
Tusk’s Civic Platform was shown in second, with 31 percent. But with the aid of two possible coalition partners, it was projected to win 248 of the 460 seats in Parliament — safely above the magic number to form a government: 231. Analysts said untangling the results could drag through Christmas. “The three pro-EU opposition parties are now the clear favorites to form the next government, but the process might take around two to three months,” Andrius Tursa, Central and Eastern Europe adviser for Teneo, a global consulting firm, said in a Monday note.
“We still have to wait for the final results. But the advance taken by the Polish opposition, which was able to unite the center-right, the center and the left against the conservative populism in power, is a tremendous sign of hope for Poland and its place in Europe,” Nathalie Loiseau, a French lawmaker in the European Parliament,
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