This isn’t an argument for or against particular mandates but for personal application of carefulness and common sense, writes QuinHillyer. 'Forgive the run of cliches, but while the worst may be behind us, it’s better to be safe than sorry.'
John Barry, the author of the definitive history of the 1918 influenza pandemic and a faculty member of the Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, has been remarkably prescient about the coronavirus. When I interviewed him two years ago this week, a few days before basketball teams began being pulled off courts midgame and sudden lockdowns were ordered, Barry told me the pandemic would be “very, very bad.
He said that the combination of vaccines, immunities developed by the 80 million Americans who already had COVID-19, and the growing availability of treatments such as Paxlovid mean the disease probably is finally containable. While he said “the next variant could be nasty,” other pandemics have featured later variants that “continue toward mildness.” For example, in the “great influenza” that began in 1918, “by 1921, it lost its ability to bind itself in the lung.
Still, Barry said the caveats are important. Even for people under 50 who are returning to fully normal life, “I would keep my masks handy” at home, he said, “not cloth masks, but good masks, the N95 or KN95 ones.”
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