Our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions are backing a red-hot Michael King as San Diego looks to pull closer in the NL West.
Michael King has been at his best lately as the Padres make a late-season push for the NL West title. We expect him to be sharp with a chance to make another dent in the Dodgers' lead tonight.
He’s suppressed power and racked up punchouts around a minor concern in the walks department, but even then, he’s brought his rate of free passes down to 5.5% this month as he’s continued to shine with a .228 xBA and .329 xSLG., who have looked incredibly strong on offense over the last two weeks but still rely heavily upon walks and power, with a remarkable .259 ISO in that stretch. They’re also sporting a worse rank in OPS against fly-ball arms this season and have hit .245 in the split to .
Knack’s made three starts this month since coming back up from Triple-A, and while he hasn’t surrendered a ton of expected hits, he’s yielded three home runs with a .453 xSLG overall. That leads me to believe the Padres will go for extra bases quite a few times here.The presumptive NL MVP has had some success against King in his career, going 5-for-12, but he’s struck out in three of these plate appearances and has a strikeout rate of 27.8% this month.
I’ll also mix in the Under on King’s walks here, too, backing the recent trends we’ve seen. L.A. does make life difficult on opposing pitchers with its patience, but just two of the last six starters to face this team have gone Over 2.5 walks while King hasn’t done so once this month.The Dodgers opened up as -125 favorites, but quickly shot up to -115 before trickling back down to around -120.
Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.
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