The U.S. should use Cuba as leverage toward improving the geopolitical situation in Venezuela.
did not directly involve the U.S. government. Rather, Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido and his advisors appear to have entered into an exploratory arrangement with the alleged coup plotters, Silvercorp. This embarrassing, unforced error will likely have wide-ranging consequences not only for Guaido and his already shaky governing coalition, but also for the United States' ability to break the diplomatic stalemate by relying on its current strategy.
By reminding us just how unsuccessful we have been to promote a return to democracy in Venezuela, the Bay of Pigs 2.0 debacle should force the U.S. to pivot to an entirely new approach. Understandably, the United States' efforts to dislodge Maduro haveBut maybe the United States has been negotiating with the wrong dictatorship all along. Perhaps it's time to explore the possibility that Venezuela's future will not be decided in Caracas, but rather in Havana.
Coercive diplomacy can be risky business, as evidenced by the Trump administration's efforts in China, North Korea and Afghanistan, among others. That said, it falls well short of military intervention and further reinforces our desire to seek a bold, negotiated solution to an intractable problem that has vexed both prior administrations and the mainstream foreign policy community.
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