OPINIONISTA: 2019 Elections: Goldilocks scenario for business By Dirk Kotze
Most businesses and investors are hoping for a categorical ANC victory to give the country the certainty it needs to move forwardI think most people want to see a strong ANC, with a clear majority, so they don’t have to work with coalitions. There should not be any questions about who’s the government, who’s the decision-maker and who are the policymakers.
For the EFF, it’s important that it grows its reach: The EFF needs to expand beyond Gauteng because in a sense it is over-concentrated and needs to develop more of a national presenceThe party is also defined by the land issue and this election will show whether voters will give it the mandate.
With the youth constituting the majority of the South African population, it’s worrying that for this election, only 18% of all eligible voters in the 18-20 age category had registered to vote.Two-thirds of the population now live in urban areas – good news for parties like the DA that are stronger in the cities, but a potential issue for parties such as the EFF and the ANC who get the rural vote.
One of the questions that will be revealed by the election results is whether Ramaphosa can bring ANC support back towards the 60% mark. What is clear, from several opinion polls, is that he is actually more popular than the ANC. But the downside of this situation is that the voters are not going to vote for him, individually, it’s a parliamentary electionHis mere presence can play a role though. Some people, even non-ANC supporters, will see him as the person to lead South Africa out of the current situation.DM
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