If President Biden declines to run for re-election in 2024, there’s a new conventional wisdom emerging on potential successors.
And issues like voting rights and criminal justice reform don't provide are not policy spaces where there are obvious prospects of big and simple wins because Republicans have stonewalled major efforts to pass bills on them in Congress.
Moreover, to the extent that Harris wants to champion her work in these spaces, the fact that they’re hot-button issues makes her acutely vulnerable to lines of attack used to mobilize Republicans. There is no doubt that 2024 hopefuls in the GOP would eagerly weaponize Harris’ status as one of the administration’s top figures on immigration to falsely caricature her as an open borders enthusiast to energize a party base that gets worked up over immigration.
In other words, while Buttigieg’s job position aligns neatly with his promise to be a politician who can transcend divisiveness in Washington, Harris’ job aligns neatly with the narrative of many of her critics within the party who fear she will be a polarizing candidate. There is no guarantee that either politician will continue on the same trajectory. Buttigieg, for example, could take heat; Harris could play a critical role in helping whip up support for a major bill that passes in the future and run on that. And while Buttigieg's job is simpler to sell, Harris can argue persuasively that she has a much better sense of what it takes to handle business in the Oval Office.
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