'Shooting down Russian planes and bombing Russian anti-aircraft sites would greatly increase the risks of escalation...including a nuclear confrontation,' warn Anatol Lieven & William Hartung
That’s reason enough not to go forward, regardless of how loud the demands to do so may be. As Breedlove himself noted in his NPR interview, “We are very reticent to have a war with a nuclear power that is already talking about using nuclear weapons”—a dramatic understatement if there ever was one.a no-fly zone routinely understate the risk by arguing “we’ve done it before”—in Iraq, Bosnia, and Libya. But in those cases U.S. opponents had little or no capability to shoot down U.S.
Therefore, in an air war with Russia, there would inevitably be heavy casualties among U.S. air crew. Some would be captured by Russia, giving Moscow leverage in any future negotiations over an end to the war in Ukraine. Many more would be killed. To eliminate this threat would necessitate destroying the missile launching sites, not only in occupied parts of Ukraine, but in Russia itself.
Russia would probably not fire missiles at bases in America itself; but it would be very surprising if it did not use its powerful fleet of nuclear and conventional attack submarines to launch attacks on U.S. naval targets.
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