Opinion: Armed with Internet connections rather than security clearances, scholars, hobbyists and conspiracy peddlers are forcing intelligence agencies to rethink how they do business
, uncorrected — years after additional evidence showed conclusively that Saddam tried but never succeeded in developing a nuclear bomb. Leone and his motives remain a mystery.The non-governmental intelligence ecosystem also increases the risks of deliberate deception. In fact, it’s already happened.
Alireza Jafarzadeh of the National Council of Resistance of Iran speaks at the National Press Club in Washington on Feb. 24, 2015, claiming that a company named Matiran was housing a nuclear facility in its basement. The evidence turned out to be fabricated. | Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images It isn’t hard to see how these technologies could be used to manipulate people eagerly searching the Internet for evidence of clandestine nuclear activities. Using cheap satellite imagery, deepfakes and weaponized social media, foreign governments — or their proxies, or just individuals looking to make trouble — will be able to inject convincing false information and narratives into the public debate.
Revealing accurate information can also escalate international crises by forcing action too soon and making it harder for each side to walk away with a win. In moments of crisis and sensitive negotiations, policymakers rely on useful fictions to buy time and save face, giving one or both sides a way out. When the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan, the CIA began arming the Afghan Mujahideen. The Soviets knew it, and the Americans knew the Soviets knew.
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