The most challenging week of the entire NFL season to bet is Week 18, when motivation and information are at their fuzziest.
market goes too far when pricing a team that may not play its starters in the finale. This line isn’t going far enough.
The Buccaneers simply have nothing to play for in Week 18 – they’re already locked into the No. 4 seed – and while coach Todd Bowles insists that he’ll play his starters on Sunday, he admitted that he could pull those starters in the second half. That seems highly likely, considering how injury-ravaged this team has been all year at key positions.
Even at full strength, I’m not sure the Bucs deserve much more respect here with how lifeless they’ve looked on both sides of the ball. With their backups likely to see significant time here, I’m all in on the Falcons pulling away late to earn their fourth 7-win season in five years.Getty ImagesThis line doesn’t make a whole lot of sense, no matter how you slice it, and I’d be surprised if it lasts all the way until kickoff.
Let’s set aside motivation for a second: why aren’t the Steelers bigger favorites here? They’ve won five of their last six games after Sunday night’s thrilling 16-13 win over the Ravens when Kenny Pickett showed flashes of brilliance on a late game-winning drive. Pittsburgh’s defense also showed out, holding its opponent to 17 or fewer points for the sixth straight week.
Then consider that the Steelers’ playoff hopes rest on a win here , as does Mike Tomlin’s historic streak of finishing at .500 or better. The Browns, meanwhile, have been eliminated for weeks amid an embarrassing and heavily scrutinized campaign. This is an easy bet for me and shouldn’t last at this price much longer.
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