News24 projects: DA to win the Western Cape, ANC to win Northern Cape ElectionsResults | PieterDuToit DawieScholtz
- The FF Plus has improved their position, taking away support from the DA.- The DA however are offsetting these losses with increased support from black voters, with overall support increasing from 23,4% to 26,0%.News24’s elections analyst Dawie Scholtz says the DA’s support in the Western Cape, although lower than in 2014, has remained relatively stable. “They will be marginally down on the previous election and could end up in the region of 55%.
It doesn’t seem as if the assault by the FF Plus, who launched a major campaign in the Western Cape to lure voters away from the DA, was overtly successful but the party is growing nationally. “We are seeing the FF Plus making major inroads into the DA’s support base among white voters, especially in the inland areas, but not in the Western Cape. Many voters in the Western Cape did for example vote for the DA provincially but FF Plus nationally.
These same voting patterns repeated itself in the Northern Cape, according to Scholtz, with a differential of 16% between suburban and rural and townships. De Lille’s Good, even though the party had their most visible campaign outside of Cape Town, will probably not reach 1% of support in this province.
The DA will be disappointed with its Northern Cape result. It identified the region as one of the two provinces where they felt the ANC could be forced to under 50%. The party also invested significant time and money into campaigning the sparsely populated province.
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