New model may improve Bay Area seismic hazard maps

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New model may improve Bay Area seismic hazard maps
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New model may improve Bay Area seismic hazard maps ScienceAdvances

In bursts that last seconds to minutes, earthquakes have moved the region's surface meters at a time. But researchers have never been able to reconcile the quick release of the Earth's stress and the bending of the Earth's crust over years with the formation of mountain ranges over millions of years. Now, by combining geological, geophysical, geochemical andThe research, which appears inalong the San Andreas Fault, rather than during the quakes themselves.

"If you try to treat the Earth like an elastic band and drive it forward too far, you're going to exceed its strength and it's not going to behave like an elastic anymore—it's going to start to yield, it's going to start to break," said senior study author George Hilley, a professor of "The conventional wisdom is that permanent uplift of the rock actually happens as the result of the immense force of the earthquake," Hilley said."This argues that the earthquake itself is actually relieving the stress that is built up, to some degree.

range. The process took years of specifying material properties to reflect the complexity that nature requires.The researchers ran their simulation from when the Santa Cruz Mountains started to uplift four million years ago until present day to understand how the evolution of topography near the San Andreas fault through time influences recent and potential future earthquakes.

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