New Forecast Predicts Bank of Canada Will Hike Rates to 4.5%

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New Forecast Predicts Bank of Canada Will Hike Rates to 4.5%
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Global think tank OECD says more rate hikes are all but assured. cdnpoli interestrates inflation realestate

“Further interest rate increases are needed in most major economies to anchor inflation expectations and ensure that inflation pressures are reduced durably.”The think tank also slashed its forecasts for both the global and Canadian economies, projecting a world-wide slowdown to 2.2% next year, from its initial 2.8% call, and for Canada’s GDP to slow to 3.4% this year and 1.5% next, a 1.1% decline from its original forecast.

States the report, higher interest rates will effectively ease inflation this year and next, but CPI growth will remain uncomfortably high, prompting the need for prolonged tighter monetary policy. Among the G20 economies, it will slow from 8.2% this year to 6.5% next, and decline from 6.2% in the G20 advanced economies this year to 4% in 2023.

Canada’s inflation rate, meanwhile, will linger around the 6.9% mark for the remainder of 2022 before cooling to 4.5% in 2023, “though still higher than the Bank of Canada’s target range of between two and three per cent.” Inflation growth, reports Statistics Canada, indicating the measure, while stubbornly high, has peaked.

The Bank of Canada is set to make its next interest rate announcement on Wednesday, October 26, where it is widely expected to implement at least a 0.5% increase. The central bank has hiked interest rates five times since March, raising its trend-setting Overnight Lending Rate by a total of 3%, resulting in a current Prime Rate of 5.45%.Penelope Graham is the Managing Editor of STOREYS. She has over a decade of experience covering real estate, mortgage, and personal finance topics.

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