Netflix has Walt Disney in its sights

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Netflix has Walt Disney in its sights
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But Wall Street analysts are generally more bullish on theme park owner

Netflix is close to overtaking Walt Disney in market value for the first time since 2020, after the amusement park owner’s earnings stoked concerns about slowing subscriber growth in its streaming business.

For Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne, streaming is important to Disney’s investment case. His overweight rating “is based on the view that Disney is one of a shortlist of global streaming platforms that can achieve significant scale and profitability”. But he does not see that priced into the shares yet.

Netflix shares trade at a widening premium to Disney’s based on Wall Street’s preferred valuation measure, enterprise value to projected earnings excluding costs such as interest and taxes. Netflix is priced at about twice Disney’s enterprise value to projected ebitda, according to Bloomberg data. “Disney’s singular aim was to garner that Netflix-type multiple, and they’ve succeeded mostly,” Ranganathan said. “The big question is whether Disney can continue to exceed expectations for streaming subscriber growth without sacrificing profitability.”

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