Opinion | Bernie Sanders is going to coast to the nomination unless some of the moderate Democratic candidates wise up and drop out. By MichaelGordonUS of GroupGordon
In fact, with all of Trump's self-inflicted wounds and generally underwater popularity, SandersWith Sen. Elizabeth Warren in freefall Sanders is likely to consolidate the support of the left wing of the Democratic party. On the other hand, the moderate lane is still divided up among Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar, and former Vice President Joe Biden. The split means Sanders is en route to winning the nomination with a plurality - not a majority - of party support.
Other than a potential cash crunch, none of the trio has a real incentive to get out. In one way or another, they've been envisioning this moment for years. They're not going to stop right when they can taste it – even if it means bringing fellow moderates down and helping reelect Trump in the process.
Part of the logic of Bloomberg's run is denying Sanders a majority of delegates going into the convention. But for all of the talk of a brokered convention, if Sanders has a convincing if not majority lead come Milwaukee, the party will coronate him. There are two competing theories on how to win a general election in 2020. The first is to persuade the persuadables, the handful of swing voters in swing states in order to reach 270. is to motivate your base and the disaffected to come out and vote for you. This was key to Trump's victory, and based on the way he governs, it's key to his reelection strategy too.
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