'As we sit and look at the epidemiological spread of the infection, we would begin to isolate areas where it is worse.'
Mkhize said on Thursday scientific predictions suggest 60%-70% of people in SA will be infected with Covid-19. And if the rate is not slowed, the public health system will not cope. He told the Sunday Times that if current restrictions do not limit the virus's spread, the army will soon be patrolling the streets to enforce them.
Mkhize said the government will be guided by the rate the virus is spreading before deploying the army. Health minister Zweli Mkhize said scientific predictions suggest 60%-70% of people in SA will be infected with Covid-19 "For an effective lockdown, we need much more than what we currently have otherwise it's as good as nonexistent. Its chances of success are minimal," said one military official.
Modelling by Wits University academics shows that once 100 people become locally infected, 1-million people could contract Covid-19 within the next 40 days. Mellado said that when localised infections hit the 100-person mark,"that is time zero. After then infection numbers explode." "What is clear is that in SA we are seeing a doubling time of Covid-19 infections every three to four days," said Madhi.
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