Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Game 4 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: No Keeping Up With Jones

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Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Game 4 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: No Keeping Up With Jones
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WNBA predictions, picks, and odds for the Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty on October 18. WNBA betting best bet and game analysis.

Jonquel Jones started this season in a slump, but now in peak form, she'll play a key role in the Liberty's title hopes. See if our WNBA picks think the Aces can rebound from some devastating injury news.In a cruel twist of fate, the Las Vegas Aces find their incredible season on life support.

Game 4 was going to be a tough test for the Aces, even with both players healthy, as the Liberty finally maneuvered the matchups in their favor to slow down what had been an unstoppable avalanche of Aces offense through two games. But defensive adjustments were only partly why the Liberty were able to flip the script on Las Vegas.

And this came against units of players practiced at dealing with Jonquel. Stokes might not have been the ideal matchup for JJ, but she’s way, way better than any non-A’ja Wilson body that Las Vegas can throw at her now. When sealed on a switch, Gray at least had the physicality to fight with Jones down low, or to battle her for a rebound. None of the replacement options for the Aces stand much of a chance.

That Jonquel’s line has only grown a single point for Wednesday — despite Jones’ dominant Game 3 performance and her matchup advantages only continuing to grow — is why I’m backing her for a second game in a row. As you would expect, the line for Game 4 has seen by far the most dramatic movement of the WNBA Finals. This line also marks the first time that the Liberty have been favored in a game in the series, first opening shortly after Sunday’s game at -1.5 in favor of New York.

Suddenly the Liberty got caught in rotation less, the space they had to cover on each rotation was not as far, and it shrunk the lane for the Aces. Now the Aces will be relying on 40 minutes from their core three of Wilson, Kelsey Plum, and Young while looking for close to that from Sixth Player of the Year Alysha Clark.

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