JSE returns should match foreign equities’ in next five years, says Investec

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JSE returns should match foreign equities’ in next five years, says Investec
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After heavy pressure on local assets in 2018, Investec is optimistic an improving local and global picture bodes well for the all share

SA's largest asset-manager, Investec, has an upbeat assessment of the JSE's prospects for the next five years, expecting returns on the local bourse to match those of foreign equities during the period.

Speaking at an Investec presentation in Sandton, Gardiner said SA's domestic problems, such as Eskom's debt burden, were now seemingly being taken seriously by the government. This was positive for SA, given that many of its emerging market peers had similar, if not worse, continuing domestic political battles, he said.

"US President Donald Trump needs a deal soon, he has an election in 18 months' time, and needs the economy growing and the stock market up," Gardiner said. The JSE had lagged its global peers in 2018, falling 11.37% during the course of the year, compared to the Dow's fall of 2.45%. The MSCI World Equities Index — which tracks 47 markets — fell 10.44%.

Investec is targeting a return of 15% on local equities over the period, in line with foreign equities, Investec portfolio manager Clyde Rossouw said.

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