Ivison: Why a big Conservative lead in the polls is bad news for Poilievre

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Ivison: Why a big Conservative lead in the polls is bad news for Poilievre
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Recent history suggests Poilievre should avoid drawing scrutiny to his own plans and priorities while voters are angry at the Liberals.

, released Wednesday, gives the Conservatives the biggest lead they have held since Justin Trudeau was elected in 2015, with 37 per cent support, compared to the Liberals 29 per cent.Sign up to receive daily headline news from Ottawa Citizen, a division of Postmedia Network Inc.By clicking on the sign up button you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. You may unsubscribe any time by clicking on the unsubscribe link at the bottom of our emails or any newsletter.

But the bigger reason is that recent history suggests Poilievre should avoid drawing heightened scrutiny to his own plans and priorities while voters are angry at the Liberals. Stephen Harper mused about a majority Conservative government in the 2004 campaign and lost. By 2006, he was reassuring voters that he was not a threat and that a Conservative government would not be able to radically alter the system because of the safeguards provided by the Liberal-dominated courts, public service and Senate.Article content

In 2004, Harper was relatively successful in presenting his party as a moderate, mainstream alternative to Paul Martin’s Liberals for the first half of the campaign, and for a 10-day period led in the polls. But outbursts from caucus members undermined that effort .Article content But lessons were learned from that exercise in snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, and they paid off in 2006.

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