India probably recognizes that having close ties with Moscow will not be beneficial if Russia becomes a pariah state, says political analyst James Crabtree.
India is"most worried" about China, which is why it needs Russian weapons, Crabtree said. But that's also why it has"spent a lot of time courting Washington and the major European countries" which share common aims in balancing China in Asia, he said.
On the other hand, India and Russia share more of a worldview than many people might like to admit, he said. "Russia talks about welcoming a new world of multipolarity, meaning one in which the U.S. is no longer top dog. And actually that's okay with India," said Crabtree. Additionally, a"good proportion" of the Indian public remains skeptical of the West and the United States. Indians are more divided on the crisis in Ukraine compared with people in other countries who are"overwhelmingly horrified," he said.
That said, he predicted India will continue its cooperation with other Quad members"as long as China is a threat." Quad refers to a security dialogue between Australia, India, Japan and the U.S., which began as an informal discussion, but has"I think what we're likely to see is India continuing to deepen its relationship with the West and edging ever so quietly away from Russia, while trying to keep hold of those all-important weapon systems," Crabtree said.
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