Why Canada's latest COVID-19 spike can't be chalked up to increased testing
TORONTO -- As COVID-19 testing numbers have increased, so too has the sentiment that the boosted swabbing capacity is the reason for the “second wave.”, is misguided and that the "lagging indicators" of hospitalization and deaths are still to come.
“We’re still at a point where we can get these cases under control with targeted public health measures,” he told CTVNews.ca over the phone from Toronto General Hospital. “When case numbers rise, you start to have fewer and fewer options to get the epidemic under control.” Now, the number of positive cases is “far more reflective” of the actual burden of disease in our communities, said Bogoch, but the testing numbers don’t explain the rise in cases. Other pandemic metrics are equally concerning. The increased testing is providing a clearer picture of the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and it’s not a pleasing image. The greater testing capacity is revealing a real shift in the spread of the disease from the summer months into early fall, said Bogoch.
“It’s such a contagious infection, it doesn’t stay restricted to a particular age cohort or particular geographic location for long,” said Bogoch. “That’s exactly what happened in many parts of the world and that’s what’s starting to happen here in Canada.” “Sadly, if we keep seeing a steady rise in cases we will ultimately see an uptick in hospitalizations and, sadly, there’s a predictable rise in deaths that will follow,” said Bogoch on CTV’s Your Morning on Tuesday. “We’re already starting to see early signs of a rise in hospitalizations in many of the provinces that are infected with these COVID-19 outbreaks.
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