How long will social distancing for coronavirus have to last? Depends on these factors.

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How long will social distancing for coronavirus have to last? Depends on these factors.
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How long are we going to have to keep this up? The closed schools, working from home, six feet of personal space and empty streets? It’s the question now preoccupying millions of Americans. But it's an especially hard one for science to answer.

Even after the peak, we may need drastic actions to keep virus at bay

Two and half months after the virus emerged, China has partially lifted its draconian lockdowns in many areas. Schools have started reopening, and authorities have taken downBut new cases continue popping up. And the government has continued its use of temperature checkpoints and pervasive digital surveillance programs that track people’s movements, and the streets even in its megacities are not as crowded as before.

The risk of new outbreaks still looms. That’s why Chinese authorities introduced new restrictions on incoming travelers — just as some countries once banned Chinese travelers — to prevent the virus“We haven’t seen how this plays out all the way yet in China,” Rivers said. We could see such second or third waves of outbreaks in countries still recovering from the first. Some experts think the virus will eventually infectSo it’s possible, even most likely, that after U.S. cases peak, Americans will still have to maintain some measures — such as isolating the infected, constant hand-washing, some degree of social distancing — until a viable vaccine is developed, which could take 12 to 18 months.So much is still unknown about this virus and how it behaves.

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