Hard Disks Don’t Die Young Anymore

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Hard Disks Don’t Die Young Anymore
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Study shows hard disks are nowhere near as fragile as their reputation suggests

“What we've seen over the last several years now is the front end of that curve is almost flattened out,” said Klein. “And you see the backside start to push a little bit. So where the failures started to rise after two and a half, three years, now the rate doesn't start to rise until you get to about four years.”

“Getting a DOA [dead on arrival] drive happens a lot less,” said Klein. “I can’t recall our guys talking about that at all in the last year or two.”With drive failures becoming increasingly rare, Backblaze has been experimenting with AI models to predict when drives in its fleet may die. However, one model created by a third party did identify the characteristics that will show when a drive is likely to carry on working normally for the foreseeable future.

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