Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls move towards $1,780 and a 50% mean reversion

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls move towards $1,780 and a 50% mean reversion
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls move towards $1,780 and a 50% mean reversion – by fx_ross Gold DollarIndex

The US Services industry activity unexpectedly rose in November leading observers to expect that the Federal Reserve may lift interest rates more than recently projected. The Institute for Supply Management said its Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 56.5 last month from 54.4 in October, indicating that the services sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of US economic activity, remained resilient in the face of rising interest rates.

Meanwhile, futures contracts tied to the Fed policy rate still imply a 70% chance that central bankers will slow the pace of rate hikes when they meet Dec. 13-14, rather than adding to a string of 75-basis-point rate hikes over the past four meetings. Analysts at TD Securities said that they see signs of buying exhaustion in Gold but a notable consolidation in prices will be needed before CTA trend followers spark renewed outflows. ''At this juncture, positioning risks are no longer tilted to the upside, as a rally north $1,830 only points to marginal CTA buying from current positioning levels,'' the analysts said.Gold is now on the backside of the micro trend but it is making a bullish correction with $1,780 eyed.

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