In Georgia's Senate runoff between Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker, will Democrats mobilize and win an absolute majority?
in a Jan. 5, 2021, special election that helped Democrats claim control of the Senate. Now he’s seeking a full six-year term. Neither Warnock nor Walker, a former University of Georgia football player who is backed by former President Trump, reached the 50%-plus-one-vote threshold needed to win outright in last month’s general election.
But a sweeping Georgia voting law pushed through by Republicans last year made it harder to vote by absentee ballot and means this year’s runoff has a compressed schedule, with just one week of early voting. “The votes, at least when we look at them demographically, more than likely favor Warnock, which fits with what we saw in Georgia the first time around and other states: Democrats built up a lead in early voting,” said Jessica Taylor, the Senate and governors editor for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. “That is why I continue to think that Republicans ignore at the peril how important early and absentee voting is.
Another factor that could put a damper on turnout, potentially putting the Republicans at a disadvantage: Rain is forecast throughout much of Georgia on election day. Over the last month, Georgia Republicans pleaded with Trump not to come to the state to hold a rally for Walker, fearing the association could damage Walker’s standing with swing voters.In the general election, many voters split their ticket, voting for Kemp and Warnock. About 80,000 Georgians supported libertarian candidate Chase Oliver.
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