Polling suggests that support for Trump generally correlates to age.
of the vote, assessments that have the advantage of being matched to actual voter records. Here, the generational splits comport more obviously with the actual results — but the same trend from right to left is seen as respondent ages decrease. It’s the oldest Americans who are the Trumpiest.
So what’s happening with the new numbers from Jacobs and Rubashkin ? Here’s how those polls see a possible Biden-Trump contest in 2024, with results arrayed from oldest to youngest. The result identified by Jacobs as Gen X is indicated with a box as is the Gen X result from Marist. You can see how the age groups in the Quinnipiac poll compare with generational breaks below. The light gray bars show the age groups broken out in the polls, from oldest to youngest. The dark gray, labeled bars show how those breaks compare with generational splits.
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