Most indices have moved higher over the past two sessions, putting a possible low for now, but uncertainty prevails ahead of the Fed decision tonight.
An attempt to continue Monday’s bounce hit some selling yesterday, helped along by the poor reaction to BP’s results. A close above 7350 would be needed to indicate that the buyers have been able to muster fresh strength, and a close above 7400 might then suggest that a low has been formed.
This short-term bullish view would be negated with a close below 7250. This then leaves only the 7200 lows of March and the summer before the index.Tuesday saw the index develop further bullish strength, albeit from a lower low.Further gains would target 15,000, and from there, trendline resistance from the August peak would be the next target, in a more extended version of the early August rally.
For the moment a short-term low has been created, and a reversal below 14,600 would be needed to indicate a renewed bearish view. Continued gains saw the index move back above its Monday highs, as the price rallied from a lower low. The next target is the 200-day SMA, which acted as resistance in late October. A close above this opens the path to trendline resistance from the September highs, and then on to the 50—day SMA, and then the October peak around 4395.Leveraged trading in foreign currency or off-exchange products on margin carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading.a registered Introducing Broker with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is no longer a Member of the National Futures Association in the U.S. Any and all information provided by FXP is not intended for use by U.S. residents or individuals domiciled in the U.S.
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