Five scenarios for how SuperTuesday could go, via NateSilver538:
In this case, Biden would finish 169 delegates ahead of Sanders. That’s hardly an insurmountable lead in a race with 3,979 pledged delegates total. But, the narrative of the evening would be quite poor for Sanders, perhaps leading to further Biden gains in subsequent states. That’s because, in this scenario, Sanders’s wins would be limited to Maine and Vermont, with Biden pulling off upsets in Massachusetts, Utah, Colorado and — most importantly, and only by the slimmest of margins — California.
As a slight silver lining for Sanders, note that he actually wins exactly as many delegates here as in the base case. That’s because Biden’s gains would take away votes from Bloomberg and Warren, knocking them below the 15 percent threshold in many districts, leaving Biden and Sanders more delegates to divvy up for themselves. Still, I’m sure Sanders would prefer to avoid this outcome.
South Africa Latest News, South Africa Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Five Things to Watch For on Super TuesdayIt’s more complicated than just declaring a winner and some losers.
Read more »
Black Democrats buoy Biden, protest Bloomberg before Super Tuesday votesA group of churchgoers silently protested by turning their backs on Democratic presidential hopeful Michael Bloomberg as he spoke about racial inequality in Selma, Alabama
Read more »
Democrats Race to Super Tuesday States with Time Running ShortJoe Biden tried to leverage his massive victory in the South Carolina primary with time running short before a coast-to-coast wave of primaries in 14 states on Tuesday.
Read more »
Sanders narrowly passes Warren in her home state of Massachusetts in poll ahead of Super TuesdaySanders leads Warren by 2 percentage points, but they are in a statistical tie as the difference is less than the poll's 4.4-point margin of error.
Read more »
Biden enters Super Tuesday outspent and out-staffed, hoping South Carolina gives him a boostFormer Vice President Joe Biden's win in South Carolina has set off an intense push by his campaign to turn that victory into the kind of momentum that can alter the course of the Democratic presidential race.
Read more »