Variety’s Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sou…
For the majority of the awards season, no matter where you stood on the overall chances for Jane Campion’s “The Power of the Dog,” an eventual statue for her in adapted screenplay seemed easily attainable. Aside from receiving fantastic reviews and over 30 precursor wins, she would also become the first woman to triumph in both screenplay categories, with another potential statue to go along with her Oscar for “The Piano” .
The BAFTA win is the most significant since “The Power of the Dog” should have won that prize easily with the voting demographic from across the pond. This was until Japan’s “Drive My Car” from director and co-writer Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe landed in four huge categories, including best picture. There’s nothing the Academy loves more than an underdog. While original screenplay heavily favors high-art concepts, this category has shown love for films that can’t muster recognition elsewhere in a significant way, such as “Jojo Rabbit” .
There have been 20 non-English language films nominated in adapted screenplay before “Drive My Car,” which is far fewer than the 66 nominated for original screenplay, including this year’s “The Worst Person in the World” from Norway. The new international bloc has been making its presence known. The Academy could rally behind another film, especially if they feel like they’ve already checked off Jane Campion’s name twice in best picture and director.
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