Going from Suozzi to George Santos and back is like going from a brief, exciting but traumatic affair back to your boring-but-stable ex who you belonged with all along.
But while there is certainly cause for celebration, Dems picking up a seat with a Dem who barely identified as a Dem in a district that’s partially in New York City and holds a 10-point voter enrollment advantage isn’t quite the bellwether some want it to be.
First, let’s give credit where credit is due. Tom Suozzi ran the campaign he knew he had to: active, urgent, and at all times as if he was 5 points down. The strategy and execution were nearly pitch perfect. The hunger and discipline was palpable and real, the stuff tested politicians know they have to do to cross the finish line.
But we should also acknowledge a few indisputable numbers where Dems clearly had the edge. On enrollment, while ‘blanks’ make up over 28% of registered CD-3 voters, Democrats and the liberal Working Families Party stillOn the money side, Democrats rightly saw the opportunity to further erode Republican control in the House and went all in,
All of this in a district that doesn't have a long history of being a bellweather to begin with. Whilepercentage points in 2022 when Santos won by eight, Biden decisively won there by eight points just two years earlier.
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