Don Braid: Against all odds, Alberta's UCP now in position to win the May election

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Don Braid: Against all odds, Alberta's UCP now in position to win the May election
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Danielle Smith\u0027s UCP looked doomed only months ago. Now it\u0027s in position to defeat the NDP in the next Alberta election.

Under Premier Danielle Smith the UCP has finally moved ahead of the NDP, by 48 per cent to 45 per cent,The NP Comment newsletter from columnist Colby Cosh and NP Comment editors tackles the important topics with boldness, verve and wit. Get NP Platformed delivered to your inbox weekdays by 4 p.m. ET.By clicking on the sign up button you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.

None of this predicts a UCP walkaway in the election. Statistically, the parties are in a dead heat in this weirdly divided province. But the UCP now has to be considered a modest favourite to win a majority The UCP has pulled slightly aheadOutside the big cities, the UCP utterly dominates Alberta. It has 62 per cent support in the north, 67 per cent in central Alberta, and 51 per cent in the rural south.The city of Edmonton is a lock for the NDP, with 58 per cent compared to 38 for the UCP.

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