Daily NHL betting guide: October 11
The Lightning start their season in New York as slight road underdogs. This should be an outstanding goaltending battle, with Andrei Vasilevskiy and Igor Shesterkin expected to start. The Lightning lost all three regular-season meetings vs. the Rangers last season but beat them 4-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals. The sportsbooks have the Rangers at -117, but the model sees it the other way, with the Lightning at -120.
This is an almost identical situation, where the sportsbooks like the home team around -120 and the model likes the road team around -120. Logan Thompson was outstanding in the pre-season , so hopefully, that carries over into the preseason. In his only start vs. Los Angeles last season, Thompson stopped 38 of 39 shots in a 5-1 win last March.
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