COVID-19 PROJECTIONS: SA infections could flare up to 54,000 by end of May; death rate set to soar too

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COVID-19 PROJECTIONS: SA infections could flare up to 54,000 by end of May; death rate set to soar too
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Covid-19 modellers identified 10 hotspots as vectors of the virus and the health minister says South Africa has flattened the curve but post-lockdown measures are key.

These are the most densely populated parts of the country.

“[There is] no room for complacency. The case numbers will rise. Expect outbreaks,” according to Mkhize’s presentation. Charts presented by the health minister showed that South Africa’s epidemic trajectory until now has placed it in the ranks of countries like Japan, South Korea and Singapore which are recognised as leaders at flattening the curve of infection. But, in each of those countries, there have been secondary waves of infection. Scientists use the United Kingdom as a comparator country as first cases occurred at about the same time as in South Africa – the UK now has 248,818 cases and 35,341 deaths.

Mkhize, however, warned that South Africa does not meet all of the six WHO criteria for easing a lockdown or coming out of it gradually.a low percentage of case increases per district and per 100,000 population ;a strategy for managing caseloads in cluster infection hotspots like prisons, mental health homes and old age homes;engaged communities who understand messages and adopt sustainably safe procedures.

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