ERCOT CEO Brad Jones spoke with the Houston Chronicle on Tuesday to talk about changes...
Tight grid conditions have become nearly a daily occurrence. The all-time record for demand has already been broken eight times in the past three months. Officials have called for conservation as weary Texans adjust their thermostats out of fear that using too much may stress the system, potentially sparking power outages similar to those that blanketed the state in February 2021.
For example, we really don’t know what the weather is going to be seven days ahead. I don’t know that any weather forecaster will give you a high probability of success on their forecasting abilities seven days ahead. They don’t know what time the cool front might come through or whether the wind may drop off.
There are eight total forecasts that go into one model to figure out what the load or the wind or sun supply is going to be. And then we get a report from generators about which units may be out of service. We really have to wait until pretty close to the day before, maybe two days before, before you could even get a sense of what it’s going to look like.
We got an incredible response from consumers. What happened yesterday was millions of people making small decisions that took 500 megawatts off our system at a critical time. We know this because we asked consumers to specifically focus on the hours between 2 and 3 p.m., and at 1:58 we saw the load drop precipitously about 500 megawatts and consistently stayed there throughout the next several hours.
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