Brinkmanship Is a Losing Proposition in the Eastern DRC: DRC
and increasing Congolese mistrust in regional and international partners. The crisis also provides an opportunity for political opportunism in the DRC's upcoming elections, with Kinshasa's apparent prioritisation of a populistic military approach over diplomacy and negotiation.By labelling the M23 a terrorist organisation, Congolese officials have excluded it from the ongoing Nairobi Process peace talks.
An escalation with Rwanda, focusing on a military response against the M23, and excluding Rwanda from the solution in the Eastern DRC would probably worsen an already bad situation. This given the general absence of DRC state authority in a region quite close to Rwanda.
issue dates back to the DRC's pre-independence and immediate post-independence political history and is a bone of contention for several presidents, including Mobutu Sese Seko. Even with support from the East African Community Regional Force, a military response by the DRC is unsustainable. And it wouldn't address the multifaceted political, socio-economic, institutional and structural root causes of the country's crisis, which have serious historical ethnic undertones.
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