Commentary: How the Myanmar regime is surviving

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Commentary: How the Myanmar regime is surviving
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Despite some major wins by insurgent groups, the junta remains strong due to its control of arms and air power, says a Myanmar-based analyst.

Members of Myanmar's military security force patrol a street during a "silent strike" protest marking the third anniversary of the military coup in Yangon on Feb 1, 2024. YANGON: Myanmar’s gruelling civil war grinds on as euphoria over the stunning surprise offensive launched by opposition forces in October 2023 gives way to alarm at theloses territory, bases and soldiers in battles

It is irrefutable that an estimated 50 towns have fallen to the Three Brotherhood Alliance, Arakan Army and the Karen National Union, as well as other anti-junta forces. Yet no state capital or Myanmar military regional command centre has fallen. The Defence Services Industries continue to manufacture bombs, bullets, artillery rounds and other lethal materials, despite the massive amount of ordnance seized by the resistance.

In 2021, there were 85 documented strikes, with 339 the following year. In 2023, there were 1,228 air strikes: Over a 122-day period between September to the end of December, the SAC conducted 750 air strikes, averaging six per day. In recent days, there have been multiple air strikes in four different states across Myanmar. According to an account from Karenni State, civilians were bombed 32 times in two hours.

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