Pakistan floods 'likely' made worse by global warming
, tens of millions of people have been affected, with around 1,500 dying because of the rising waters.
Right from the start, politicians pointed to climate change as having made a significant contribution to the desperate scenes.Certainly, the crippling heatwaves that gripped India and Pakistan earlier this year were easier to attribute, withBut extreme rainfall events are hard to assess. Pakistan is located on the edge of the monsoon region where the rainfall pattern is extremely variable from year to year.
During the 60-day period of heaviest rainfall this summer scientists recorded an increase of about 75% over the Indus river basin, while the heaviest five-day period over the provinces of Sindh and Balochistan recorded a rise in rainfall of around 50%. Some of the models indicated that the increases in rainfall intensity could all be down to human-caused climate change - however there were considerable uncertainties in the results."Our evidence suggests that climate change played an important role in the event, although our analysis doesn't allow us to quantify how big the role was," said Friederike Otto from Imperial College London, one of the report's authors.
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