Why the debates won't knock Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg from the top of the polls
In late April, Quinnipiac found that, taken together, just five candidates - Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg - drew 79% of the Democratic primary vote.
Democratic presidential hopefuls Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg, US senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders and US Senator from Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren participate in the first round of the second Democratic primary debate of the 2020 presidential campaign season hosted by CNN at the Fox Theatre in Detroit, Michigan on July 30, 2019.
Did any of last night's action significantly alter nomination prospects for any among the 10 candidates on stage?Will the skirmishes tonight with another group of 10, including former Vice President Joe Biden and Sens. Kamala Harris and Cory Booker change the dynamics? After all, the volatile subject of race looms over their face off.That might sound surprising considering the vast exposure nationally-televised debates offer a sprawling field of candidates, each desperately seeking traction.
Harris' strong attack on a shaky Biden in the MSNBC debate had a short-term impact. In a Quinnipiac poll taken immediately afterward, she shot up to 20%, from 7% in mid-June, while front-runner Biden fell to 22% from 30%. But just as the attitudes of voters on all sides have hardened concerning President Trump, they may have hardened about which potential Democratic challengers the party's primary voters will pay attention to. That would be bad news for a passel of serious-minded candidates who, so far at least, have proven unable to grab a solid foothold in the 2020 conversation.
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