According to one poll tracker, the United Conservative Party has a 99 per cent chance of capturing the most seats on election day
It’s a pretty good bet that Jason Kenney is going to be the next premier of Alberta. According to the CBC’s official poll tracker, there is a 99 per cent chance Kenney’s United Conservative Party will win the most seats on April 15.
Below, a few reasons why the UCP can be uniquely braggadocious about their prospect of victory — and how they could still manage to lose this thing anyway.In July 2017, a week after the party was created, it opened a lead of 28 points over the incumbent NDP. There hasn’t been a single poll since that didn’t show the UCP with a commanding lead over the NDP. The typical Canadian election campaign is a horse race between two parties who each command about 40 per cent of the electorate.
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