Analyst Dawie Scholtz believes the coming general election is one of the most uncertain in recent memory. He's fired up his election models to estimate what possible outcomes we can expect on May 8. This is how the chips could fall...
Dawie Scholtz is a self-admitted elections wonk. As a student studying international relations, economics and management consulting he immersed himself in electoral politics and went to work for the DA as a pollster after completing his university studies.
But what sets Scholtz apart from most is his use of data analytics and mathematical models in analysing possible election outcomes. South Africa has rich data sets available about voters, demographics, geography and historical voting patterns and in the hands of a whizz like Scholtz it becomes powerful tools in attempting to clear the fog. Today we publish Scholtz’s analysis of possible voting outcomes.
Scholtz believes the ANC will win…but with a reduced majority. And the opposition landscape will also change significantly, according to his modelling. Read on for his analysis.ANC: 58Of course, the precise numbers here are not the key fact. The likely range of expectations is a more important indicator.
South Africa Latest News, South Africa Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Friday Briefing: Election 2019 - Where the votes could go, and why
Read more »
Why the world is best explored on footRunning in cities, especially in Europe and the US, is not that easy, especially if you’re staying in a city centre hotel.
Read more »
Police put contingencies in place if voting stations go dark on May 8Generators will apparently be deployed to certain voting stations if necessary.
Read more »
#LoadShedding: Police put contingencies in place if voting stations go dark on May 8 | IOL NewsThe SA National Defence Force and Disaster Management will be deployed to help police should rotational power cuts threaten the elections, MPs heard.
Read more »
Why I won’t voteI’ve been asked who I’ll be giving my vote to at the general elections on May 8 and what my views on the political landscape are. I do my best to refrain from such banter because I end up either being made to feel bad or I end up coming across as completely thoughtless.
Read more »