Bad news for tech and computer hardware prices in South Africa

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Bad news for tech and computer hardware prices in South Africa
Asgar MahomedBianca BotesCitadel Global
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Esquire Technologies explains how long the rand needs to be trading at stronger levels before consumers can expect tech prices to come down.

While the South African rand has been trading stronger against the US dollar, euro, and British pound, it will take more than a few days of good exchange rates for tech prices to come down.“The rand must trade at stronger levels consistently for several months before consumers see any noticeable changes in electronics prices,” Asgar told MyBroadband.

This means South Africans are paying almost triple for imported electronics than 13 years ago just due to the exchange rate. That’s not counting VAT, which increased from 14% to 15% in 2018. “Political analysts believe the events from this weekend pretty much secured a Trump victory, and therefore, Trump policy needs to be priced in — including larger deficits and import tariffs,”Botes believes that while volatility will increase, the rand will continue to strengthen as the US Federal Reserve closes in on its 2% inflation target, bringing with it the prospect of interest rate cuts.

However, with positive signs from the US FBI that the shooter appeared to have acted alone and there being no further safety threat, this risk aversion will work its way out of the system.However, Asgar said that for consumers to see a real impact on electronics prices, the rand needs to strengthen to levels last seen in 2012, 2015, and 2018.“It has to remain at those levels for at least six to 12 months to make any significant impact in the longer term,” he said.

Cassim said the main reason most importers have come to rely on forward cover is to hedge against the rand’s volatility.

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